Course · Free preview
Rivals before results
Freeze competing explanations and their different predictions before observing.
Afternoon fatigue could reflect sleep loss, meal timing, interruptions, medication effects, or another cause.
What observation would distinguish at least two live explanations?
The core idea
Evidence becomes diagnostic when rivals make different frozen predictions. A result compatible with every story may add data without reducing uncertainty.
Write the suspects' alibis before the evidence arrives
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