Encyclopedia · Free preview
Belief
The confidence you actually carry in your head after the reasoning is done, stated as a degree rather than a fact. Ask whether that confidence matches what the inference supports, or whether it hardened on the way in.
The confidence you actually carry in your head after the reasoning is done, stated as a degree rather than a fact. Ask whether that confidence matches what the inference supports, or whether it hardened on the way in.
Example
Your inference says satisfaction probably slipped somewhat. Your belief, said out loud, is "I am 90% sure customers are unhappy." Naming it exposes the gap: the inference supports maybe 55%, and the extra 35 points came from the dashboard looking clean.
Keep exploring
Read the full page.
Create your free access to continue reading and explore the complete library.
Register free with ChatGPT →Already registered? Use the same button to sign in.
Sign-in shares your email with Michael Simmons to create your site access. No payment required. Newsletter signup is separate. How your data is used