Evidence and escape

Before acting, write down the numbers that will judge the plan: where you stand today, what result counts as working, what result would prove it wrong, the soonest you can honestly read it, and what ends the experiment.

Before acting, write down the numbers that will judge the plan: where you stand today, what result counts as working, what result would prove it wrong, the soonest you can honestly read it, and what ends the experiment.

Example

For the money overhaul: baseline is $180 saved a month and two money arguments in 90 days. Target is $600 a month. Falsifier: savings under $300, or arguments rising. Earliest honest read, day 60. Exit: restore two subscriptions. Next review, day 30.