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Zero-Sum Thinking

The belief (often incorrect) that one party's gain necessarily comes at another's expense. While some situations are genuinely zero-sum (dividing a fixed pie), most economic and social interactions are positive-sum (trade, cooperation, innovation create new value). Zero-sum thinking leads to unnecessarily adversarial strategies, missed opportunities for mutual gain, and political polarization. The cognitive bias toward zero-sum thinking is well-documented and surprisingly persistent.

When to use it

When facing strategic decisions under uncertainty; when multiple stakeholders have competing interests; when the stakes are high and reversibility is low.

How it can help

Provides frameworks for navigating competitive landscapes, allocating resources under uncertainty, and making high-stakes decisions with incomplete information.

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