MODELS
← Browse the encyclopedia

Guide · Free preview

Named signal

Write down the exact observable event that ends the wait, specific enough that you and a skeptical friend would agree the moment it happened. Not a mood, not "when things get clearer," but a fact you could go check today.

Write down the exact observable event that ends the wait, specific enough that you and a skeptical friend would agree the moment it happened. Not a mood, not "when things get clearer," but a fact you could go check today.

Example

Instead of waiting until the skill question "feels settled," you name it: two of the next five job posts on your team's promotion ladder list AI tooling as required. That is checkable in 10 minutes, and until it fires you keep all three bets running.

Keep exploring

Read the full page.

Create your free access to continue reading and explore the complete library.

Register free with ChatGPT →

Already registered? Use the same button to sign in.

Sign-in shares your email with Michael Simmons to create your site access. No payment required. Newsletter signup is separate. How your data is used