Mutual Information (Shared Knowledge Between Variables)
Mutual information measures statistical dependence between variables, including nonlinear dependence
People, books, and breakthrough ideas—connected to the mental models and moves you can use.
3,456 entries
Mutual information measures statistical dependence between variables, including nonlinear dependence
The Cold War nuclear deterrence doctrine where both sides possess sufficient retaliatory capability to destroy the other even after absorbing a first strike—making first-strike impossible because it guarantees your own d…
William James' Varieties of Religious Experience (1902) identified four defining characteristics of mystical experience: ineffability (the experience cannot be adequately conveyed in words), noetic quality (the experienc…
Fred Brooks's insight that adding people to a late software project makes it later
Test on yourself or one unit by switching the factor on and off and watching what tracks.
Before hunting for any analogy, write down the specific relationships in the new material you need explained. Fixing that list first stops you from starting with a source that feels familiar and then bending the new domain to fit it.
Write down the exact observable event that ends the wait, specific enough that you and a skeptical friend would agree the moment it happened. Not a mood, not "when things get clearer," but a fact you could go check today.
Not all naps are equal—their cognitive benefits depend precisely on duration and timing
Carries one case through time in sentences, so the order, the particulars, and why any of it mattered arrive together.
The human compulsion to create coherent stories from random data—finding causation in correlation, pattern in noise, and meaning in randomness
Nassim Taleb's extension of the narrative fallacy emphasizing its role in Black Swan blindness: our stories always make the past seem orderly and predictable, which creates the illusion that the future is equally orderly…
Narrative identity is an evolving life story that connects reconstructed past, present concerns, and imagined future
Dan McAdams' narrative identity theory proposes that identity is fundamentally a story—an internalized, evolving narrative of the self that integrates reconstructed past, perceived present, and anticipated future into a…
The deep human compulsion to organize experience into stories with characters, causation, and meaning—even when the underlying reality is random, complex, or meaningless
The cognitive error of evaluating decisions in isolation rather than as part of a broader portfolio—treating each choice as if it exists independently rather than as one of many decisions you'll make
The tendency to make decisions in isolation rather than as part of a broader portfolio, leading to excessive risk aversion for individual decisions that would be perfectly reasonable in aggregate
Natural consequences occur without an adult arranging them; logical consequences are intentionally related to behavior and intended to support learning or repair
A protocol for preparing for and responding to natural disasters — earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, wildfires, severe storms, and power outages
A natural monopoly exists when one provider can supply the relevant market at lower total cost than multiple providers dividing production
Darwin's mechanism of evolutionary change: variation in traits, differential survival and reproduction based on environmental fit, and inheritance of successful traits across generations
Gary Klein's research program studying how experts actually make decisions in real-world conditions—under time pressure, with incomplete information, in dynamic situations
Natural environments serve as a buffer against stress that makes subsequent stressors less damaging
Richard Louv's concept describes the cumulative cognitive, emotional, and physical costs of alienation from natural environments