Move guide
DOUBT
Explore the named moves and parts below.
Choose a move in the practical Guide →Explore the moves and parts
- Decision disconnectYour doubt exists because the evidence was never tied to a decision, threshold, or outcome you actually value.
- One-sided or origin-dependent recordYour record is suspect because it was selected, copied, or defined by the very story it seems to support.
- Undiagnostic or untrustworthy signalYour observation can't separate the rival explanations, or the process that produced it is too weak to trust.
- Biased inference or belief updateYour predictions or thresholds quietly shifted after you saw the result, which corrupts the update.
- Transfer troubleYour evidence came from a different person, context, scale, or incentive regime and is being stretched past its borders.