DOUBT

Explore the named moves and parts below.

Choose a branch or move

• Decision disconnect

  Your doubt exists because the evidence was never tied to a decision, threshold, or outcome you actually value.

  Use this move →
• One-sided or origin-dependent record

  Your record is suspect because it was selected, copied, or defined by the very story it seems to support.

  Use this move →
• Undiagnostic or untrustworthy signal

  Your observation can't separate the rival explanations, or the process that produced it is too weak to trust.

  Use this move →
• Biased inference or belief update

  Your predictions or thresholds quietly shifted after you saw the result, which corrupts the update.

  Use this move →
• Transfer trouble

  Your evidence came from a different person, context, scale, or incentive regime and is being stretched past its borders.

  Use this move →