P · Pin

Explore pin moves.

Choose a branch or move

• Decision link

  Before gathering any evidence, name the specific action or belief that the answer could actually change.

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• Claim and type

  Write out the exact claim you're testing, including who it's about, in what context, compared to what, and over what time frame.

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• Prior and baseline

  Record what you currently believe and what normally happens before you look at any new evidence.

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• Decision-flipping uncertainty

  Find the single smallest unknown that, if answered, would change what you do next.

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