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Cognitive Move

Reversible First Step

Find the smallest action you can fully undo that would still change your beliefs or direction.

Cognitive Move

Reversible probe

Take a small action designed so you can fully undo it after learning from it.

Mental Model

Reversible vs. Irreversible Decisions

A decision heuristic distinguishing choices that can be changed at acceptable cost from those with consequences that are difficult to undo

Cognitive Move

Review

Put a date on the calendar when the goal gets reopened and judged on evidence, whether or not anything looks broken. Unlike revising or quitting, this part changes nothing by itself. It just guarantees the question gets asked out loud.

Cognitive Move

Review and simplification schedule

Set a date in advance to reread the rule itself and cut it back. You ask which branches actually fired, which signals proved noisy, and what can be deleted, so the rule stays small enough to follow without a chart.

Cognitive Move

Review cadence

Set in advance how often you will sit down and look at the trend, so the check is a scheduled event rather than something you do when you happen to feel guilty or curious. Pick an interval short enough to correct course, long enough for a signal.

Cognitive Move

Revision

Keep pursuing the goal but change what it says. You alter the target number, horizon, or definition of success when evidence shows the old version was wrong, while leaving the effort alive. Difficulty alone never justifies it; only disconfirming evidence does.

Cognitive Move

Revision authority

Names who can change, pause, or kill the plan after it is already running, and on what trigger. The other five roles govern getting a decision made. This one governs undoing it, so a rollout is not permanent by default.

Mental Model

Revolving Door

The movement of personnel between regulatory bodies and the industries they regulate, creating conflicts of interest that compromise regulatory independence

Cognitive Move

reward

Check what actually gets praised, paid, and promoted, then compare it to the stated goal. People steer toward consequences, not announcements. If the incentive pays a different behavior than the target needs, effort flows there regardless of what the plan says.

Mental Model

Reward and Punishment

The most fundamental behavioral mechanism: organisms repeat behaviors that are rewarded and cease behaviors that are punished

Cognitive Move

Rewire

Keep the same people, tools, and tasks, and change only the connections around them: what starts the work, what form it arrives in, who owns it, who checks it, and where the exceptions go.

Mental Model

Rhetorical Questions

Rhetorical questions can invite an answer or imply a claim without arguing for it

Mental Model

Rhythm

In music, communication, and life design, rhythm is the pattern of emphasis, timing, and repetition that creates structure, predictability, and momentum

Mental Model

Right Tool for the Right Job

Every experienced tradesperson knows that using the wrong tool produces poor results, damages tool and workpiece, and increases injury risk

Cognitive Move

Rights

Asks which claims are entitlements rather than preferences, so they cannot be traded, outvoted, or priced into the same tally as benefits. Rights shrink the option set before you weigh anything, and holding few votes never shrinks a right.

Mental Model

Rights-Based Thinking

Rights-based thinking starts from the premise that individuals possess inherent entitlements—to speech, property, privacy, due process—that cannot be overridden merely because doing so would produce better aggregate outc…

Mental Model

Ringi System (Formal Consensus)

The ringi system is the formal Japanese organizational decision-making process where proposals (ringisho) circulate from bottom to top, collecting seals of approval (hanko) from each level of management

Mental Model

Risk Assessment

Systematic evaluation of downside scenarios through four questions: (1) What's the worst case? (2) How likely is it? (3) Can I survive it? (4) Is the upside worth the risk? The critical insight from Munger and Bevelin is…

Mental Model

Risk Capacity vs. Risk Tolerance

Risk capacity is the objective ability to absorb losses without material life impact—determined by time horizon, income stability, wealth, and obligations

Mental Model

Risk Layering (Multiple Defenses)

The defense-in-depth principle that no single risk mitigation is reliable enough on its own—effective risk management uses multiple independent layers, each catching what the others miss

Mental Model

Risk Priority Number (RPN)

The Risk Priority Number is a quantitative scoring system used in FMEA that multiplies three independently assessed factors — Severity (S), Occurrence (O), and Detection (D) — each rated 1-10, to produce a composite risk…