E · TRACE

Explore the TRACE moves.

Choose a branch or move

• True Construct

  Name the real underlying quality your metrics are supposed to represent, the thing that would still matter if no score existed.

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• Result Signal

  Pick a lagging observation close to the real outcome that would prove the value actually changed.

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• Advance Signal

  Choose an early, controllable indicator that should move before the final result does.

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• Counter-Signal

  Add a measure that catches the most likely way to improve the main number while destroying its value.

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• External Reality Check

  Include an observation you cannot easily manufacture, so self-deception gets exposed.

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