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People, books, and breakthrough ideas—connected to the mental models and moves you can use.

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Mental Model

Forcing Function

A design constraint that prevents a specified action until a necessary condition is met, or prevents an invalid sequence

Cognitive Move

forecast cone

A single band opening from today, drawn to answer one question: does this cross the line, and when at the earliest. The two edges are best and worst upkeep you would actually sustain, not extremes. The finding is usually the crossing point of the top edge, or the absence of one.

Mental Model

Forecast Illusion

Dobelli's term for the persistent belief that experts can predict the future—despite overwhelming evidence that expert predictions are barely better than chance for most complex domains

Mental Model

Forest Bathing (Shinrin-yoku)

Shinrin-yoku, developed in Japan in the 1980s, is the practice of immersive, slow, sensory-focused time in forested environments

Mental Model

Form Follows Function

An architectural principle associated with Sullivan that relates form to a building's functions

Cognitive Move

Formal and executable

States the rule as inputs, an operation, and an output, so the same transformation runs the same way twice.

Mental Model

Forum Shopping Strategy

Forum shopping is the practice of choosing which court or jurisdiction to file a case in to maximize strategic advantage

Mental Model

Founder Mode vs Manager Mode

Paul Graham’s proposed distinction between direct founder involvement and a more compartmentalized style of delegation as companies grow

Mental Model

Founder's Syndrome

The pattern where a founder's strengths that built the company become liabilities as the company scales—and the founder's identity is too intertwined with the company to recognize or accept this transition

Cognitive Move

Four Steering Knobs

Inspect the target, the signal, the rule, and the reward before blaming execution.

Mental Model

Fourth Age Challenges

Peter Laslett distinguished the Third Age (active post-career life, roughly 65-80) from the Fourth Age (roughly 80+), when the body and mind begin to impose hard limits on independence

Mental Model

Foxes vs Hedgehogs

Isaiah Berlin's distinction, operationalized by Philip Tetlock: hedgehogs know one big thing and apply their master framework to everything, while foxes know many things and draw on multiple frameworks

Mental Model

Fractal Patterns in Nature and Calm

Natural environments are rich in fractal geometry—self-similar patterns repeating at different scales in tree branches, coastlines, leaf veins, and clouds

Mental Model

Framing

How information is presented dramatically affects how it's perceived and what decisions follow

Mental Model

Free Rider Problem

The free rider problem arises when people can benefit from collective provision without contributing to its cost, potentially leading to underprovision